Here’s the context on each area we are playing. We’re taking the day off college football futures again due to there not being anything all that new in the markets. We use FPI heavily to make NFL futures picks, but not spreads and totals.Īctive markets today: College football college basketball college football futures. We use kenpom heavily to make college basketball picks. We use Movelor heavily to make college football picks. We used to use the Vegas Consensus, but it’s no longer consistently available in an accurate form online. Odds for these come the better option between Bovada and BetOnline. If you’re afraid you might have a gambling problem, seek help.
Only you are responsible for any money you lose, and you should not bet more than you can afford to lose. Overall, the results have been mixed, with an average return on investment, per pick, of –1.0% when weighting by confidence (1 for low, 2 for medium, 3 for high) across 6,300 published picks, not including pending futures and an average return on investment, per pick, of +2.3% across 2,266 completed high and medium-confidence picks (low confidence picks these days are mostly in experimental markets for us). Editor’s Note: Since November 2018, Joe has been publishing picks here and back at All Things NIT, our former site.